Analysis of nearly 133 million airline booking transactions finds bookings departing from Cairo carried the world’s highest fraud rate this quarter, while departure cities across the United States and Australia posted among the lowest fraud rates
Accertify, a leading fraud decisioning provider whose Predictive Yes Platform helps merchants say yes to more good customers, more revenue, and more growth, announced the release of its Global Air Travel Fraud Report: Q2 2026, a quarterly analysis examining how fraud pressure varies across global airline markets based on departure city at time of booking.
Based on analysis of 132.9 million airline booking transactions processed between April and June 2026, the report evaluates prevented fraud rates across 537 departure cities that each processed at least 10,000 transactions during the quarter, providing airlines with a data-driven view of where Accertify’s Predictive Yes platform intervened most frequently at booking.
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The Q2 findings reveal that fraud pressure continues to vary significantly by market, with the most notable shift occurring across the Middle East and Africa. The region’s average prevented fraud rate more than doubled quarter over quarter, from 0.95% to 2.03% — the highest of any region analyzed, against a global average of 0.29% — while bookings departing from Cairo, Accra, Tunis, and Casablanca posted the four highest fraud rates worldwide (Source: Accertify client data, Q2 2026). Meanwhile, departure cities across the United States and Australia continued to register some of the world’s lowest booking-stage fraud rates, reflecting the more mature fraud-prevention practices commonly found in those markets.
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Key findings from the Accertify Q2 2026 Global Air Travel Fraud Report include:
- Middle East and Africa recorded the highest average fraud rate of any region. The region’s average prevented fraud rate reached 2.03%, up from 0.95% in Q1 and well above the global average of 0.29%, with bookings departing from Cairo, Accra, Tunis, and Casablanca recording the four highest fraud rates worldwide.
- Cairo reached the highest fraud rate in the world this quarter. The fraud rate on bookings departing from Cairo rose from 1.43% in Q1 to 6.57% in Q2 — moving it from 15th to the highest globally in a single quarter.
- The United States and Australia reflected some of the world’s lowest fraud rates. Both remained well below the global average of 0.29%, with bookings departing from U.S. cities averaging 0.07% and bookings departing from Australia and Pacific cities averaging 0.08%.
- East Asia posted the largest proportional improvement of any region. Its average prevented fraud rate nearly halved year over year, falling 43% from 0.20% to 0.11% — a steeper percentage decline than any other region, though Latin America + the Caribbean’s rate fell by more in absolute terms (0.91% to 0.69%).
- Quarter-over-quarter rankings provide new insight into changing fraud patterns. For the first time, the report tracks how individual departure cities move within the global rankings from one quarter to the next, providing airlines with additional context into where fraud pressure is accelerating or easing over time.
The report underscores that fraud pressure is highly localized, often varying significantly between departure cities within the same region. By examining prevented fraud at the point of booking, airlines can better benchmark their own performance, identify emerging areas of elevated risk, and adapt fraud prevention strategies as booking patterns evolve.
