VAB’s Analysis of 100 Years of Economic Data Reveals Effect of Advertising Investment During Health Crises and Recessions
VAB’s Keep Calm and Advertise On: How to Successfully Navigate Your Brand Through An Economic Downturn, is a new, comprehensive analysis of data spanning the 1920s through present day, identifying the correlation between advertising investment and business outcomes during periods of economic upheaval due to global health crises and recession.
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The investigative study summarizes nearly a century of data from sources including the International Monetary Fund, academic scholars, Fortune 100 companies and financial analysts, providing statistical information to answer whether brands should continue or curtail advertising spending during the current pandemic. It also outlines how major brands including Amazon, Walmart, T-Mobile, General Mills and Hershey’s, continued to invest in advertising during historic recessionary periods and delivered stronger business outcomes as a result.
“All marketers operating in 2020 consider themselves ‘data-driven marketers.’ We’ve put the best of a century’s worth of data together to help guide this year’s crucial advertising investment decisions and those of 2021,” said Sean Cunningham, president and CEO, VAB. “Keep Calm and Advertise On’s nearly 100 years of evidence corroborates that increasing or decreasing advertising budgets has significant implications for brand health and sales in the short-term and for years to come.”
Summary of Key Findings
Maintaining current share of voice yields long-term benefits
An analysis of brands during the 1990-91 recession found that decreased ad investment had a negative effect on market share, while brands that increased their spend saw significant gains in share of market throughout the decade (page 37).
“Currently, some sectors have no choice but to cut back advertising spend or go dark, with closures or supply chain issues making doing business impossible. For other categories, this is a crucial time for brands to maintain share of voice,” said Danielle DeLauro, executive vice president, VAB. “As evidenced by a century’s worth of data, advertisers who decrease their share of voice will experience lower profits and be required to spend more money to regain market share.”
