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59% believe valuations in the coming 6 months will be lower than current levels
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61% are concerned about overlooked or increased risk as a pricing obstacle
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Yet 73% anticipate the same or higher volume of deal closings
Intapp, a leading provider of cloud-based software for the global professional and financial services industry, released the Autumn 2022 DealCloud Dealmaker Pulse Survey report. This biannual survey explores trends, challenges, and expectations among private equity professionals regarding deal activity, pricing, and fundraising. The autumn survey finds that 66% of dealmakers say recession-driven opportunities will change their investment strategies in the coming 6 months.
“Amid market dislocation, it’s important to remember that private equity has historically outperformed after recessionary periods,” said Ben Harrison, President of Financial Services at Intapp. “The current market volatility, denominator effect, and overallocation to private equity relative to other asset classes could reduce the industry’s dry powder. Still, many dealmakers are ready to go on offense to acquire high-quality companies at deeper discounts, positioning them well for recovery.”
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The pulse
- Despite this economic environment, as well as increased due diligence stalling deals (up from 7% in spring to 14%), most dealmakers (89%) successfully closed deals and 73% expect to close the same or higher volume of deals than they have in the previous 6 months. Though competition for these deals shows increasing signs of plateauing, 80% believe competition for assets will remain at the same level or increase.
- More than half (59%) of dealmakers said pricing/valuation fluctuations represented their biggest challenge in the last 6 months. The same percent expect valuations to drop in the coming months, and 61% (up from 52%) are concerned that overlooked or increased risk will be a pricing obstacle.
- During the coming 6 months, 44% of dealmakers project that their primary focus will be acquiring new companies (down from 58% from the spring survey). Another 15% of dealmakers say that add-on acquisition activity will be a primary focus, while 20% of respondents will focus on improving portfolio company operations and margins — up from 12%. Among portfolio concerns, more than half (53%) of survey respondents noted that their firms’ most significant talent-related challenges are staffing issues faced by portfolio companies.
“The private equity market dynamics spent the last 6 months shifting toward heightened risk and market uncertainty,” said Harrison. “Inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, market volatility, and geopolitical unrest reducing visibility on pricing have caused a significant gap between the buyer and seller, making investments more challenging and, in turn, affecting the volume of deal closings.”
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Investor activity
Fundraising has been driven by large and middle-market firms, with the average target fund size of $1.6 billion for those surveyed.
- 54% percent indicate that they will be raising their largest fund to date. This capital-raising activity, combined with private equity commitments made in 2021, gives firms some cushion.
- Yet 64% of dealmakers have seen greater emphasis on risk management and mitigation from investors.